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Mao Huitan & Zhang Shoujun
First of all, thank you for following us for our last 20 updates. It’s time for us to make a small conclusion.
In our blog, we introduced the concept of the autonomous vehicles, gave our own and experts’ opinions on auto vehicles, and we try to analyze from both technology and non-technology point of view.
Personally speaking, I think this technology is quite feasible and it will surely be on the market in the next 15 or 20 years. But it may only be allowed to be used in some countries. (Canada for example, or North Europe. Because these countries don’t have the traffic jam and most of the roads are not so busy).
To be widely used and accepted both economically and ethically around the whole world, I think it is still a long way to go.
How do you think about autonomous vehicles?
We kindly ask your conclusions about autonomous vehicles.
Today let’s have some fun and I will give you an overview of all the great ideas about the future transportation.
- The SkyTran
According to Wikipedia, SkyTran is “Lightweight two-passenger vehicles suspended from elevated passive magnetic levitation tracks are expected to achieve the equivalent of over 200 miles per US gallon (240 mpg-imp; 1.2 L/100 km) fuel economy at 100 miles per hour (160 km/h) or faster.” http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SkyTran
Its construction is much cheaper than the light rail project and can be constructed without totally changing the environment of the city, which gives it a very high feasibility.
This looks more Sci-Fi or black magic. This solution offers a way to travel from point A to point B with 0 second! The technology behind it is only theory. By knowing all the states of the particles, and we can change states of the other particles in another place, so you seem to just suddenly go to another place.
I don’t think we will have the chance to experience this technology in our lifetime. If you are interested into the quantum physics, have a look at this one!
3. Capsules travel
Traveling with barely no friction!
21st century is the one in which electric vehicles just start to compete with the gasoline/diesel cars. As a very powerful way of beating the traditional cars, the autonomous driving can be an effective method and a key feature for electric vehicles.
As quite a lot of people are concerned about the safety of the autonomous vehicles, “a natural path towards full autonomy therefore starts with small, short range and most likely electric vehicles that provide local mobility at low speeds and in increasingly less controlled environments. (1).In this way, both the electric vehicles and autonomous vehicles can enter the market together.
In conclusion, I suggest that we could apply the autonomous driving technology to the electric vehicles. In this way, the electric vehicles may be more competitive both economically and ecologically.
“Warren Buffett’s Berkshire acquires MyAssist in-car concierge service used by Mercedes, Ford.” in this January (1).The day after, the smart vehicles stock started to rise.
There are lots of people who are interested in autonomous vehicles investment. According to IHS Automotive (2), In their study, “Emerging Technologies: Autonomous Cars—Not If, But When,” they forecast total worldwide sales of self-driving cars will grow from nearly 230 thousand in 2025 to 11.8 million in 2035 – 7 million SDCs with both driver control and autonomous control and 4.8 million that have only autonomous control. In all, there should be nearly 54 million self-driving cars in use globally by 2035.
Now if you google autonomous vehicles, there are lots of things coming out. People are really interested into this subject. As more capital is rushing into this field, it is more likely that the autonomous vehicles will succeed in the future market.
The report is available without charge to members of the news media. To request a copy of “Emerging Technologies: Autonomous Cars – Not If, But When,” e-mail firstname.lastname@example.org.
Apple, the world’s most valuable technology firm, should buy Tesla, the pioneering electric-car company which has defied the skeptics and become a new icon of Silicon Valley innovation. That was the idea come up late last year by a financial analyst who made headlines by suggesting that Apple “could reignite the U.S. auto industry” by helping to “accelerate” the global shift toward hybrid and electric vehicles.( http://business.time.com/2014/02/17/apple-tesla-report/)
Though the news about apple burying Tesla seems to be a rumor now, but there is more and more cooperation between the IT giants and the autonomous vehicle industry. In fact, all the companies interested in autonomous vehicles can be divided into 2 groups: the IT companies and traditional vehicle companies. For the IT companies, they care more about cloud technology services, for instance cloud computing and cloud information sharing. Cloud services could be more widely used by introducing the services into autonomous vehicles market. At the same time, traditional car manufacturers would also benefit a lot from the emerging new high-tech, for example, smart systems embedded in cloud services could make vehicles run at economical speeds and directions, which could save time or energy.
To sum up, we can say that the future car companies must be the hybrid of IT companies and traditional car manufacturers. Only in this way will they benefit most both economically and ecologically.
A small French company, Induct, launched its first commercial autonomous vehicle,Navia, in January 2014. Navia carries up to eight passengers and costs around $250,000. It is expected to be used in airports, university campuses, stadiums and arenas and costs 40 per cent less than traditional shuttles. Instead of detecting obstacles using GPS and coordinates information, it uses lasers to avoid obstacles. However, its speed limit is just 12.5 mph. For safety there is an emergency button in case of accidents. Passengers can communicate with Navia via their smart devices to specify destination.
What is remarkable in this case is that Navia does not need any prior infrastructure to guide itself therefore it is expected to work on any sort of site. As the starter of autonomous vehicles, it is even more meaningful to the later development as it kind of paves the way for the future autonomous vehicles.